Florida Primary

January 30th 2008 marks the conclusion of the Florida Primary. Ron Paul had his worst showing since the election season began. Results showed Paul with 3.27% of the votes. This number does not stand out but there are a couple common sense items that do.
Statistical analysis is a science of it’s own and I do not claim to be remotely close to understanding all of the tactics one can employ to understand numerical patterns, probability, and the multitudes of behavioral tests afforded by modern tools like Microsoft Excel.
Even still, one thing that a mere laman might question in watching the circus of primary media coverage and analysis would be the unchanging nature of numbers throughout a reporting period that extended for many hours. Viewers of Foxs News which seem to be pumulting Greta Van Susteran and alike with emails of support for Ron Paul might be founded in asking the following question. How can any candidate have an unwaivering percentage of 3% throughout a sampling of 1,895,095 people during 100 reporting periods? Reported real time numbers were changed at each 1% increase in votes counted while never really changing throughout the night. Is this possible or probable in a real world?
On a more positive note, Fox News has finally begun to acknowledge that Paul is a candidate with a devout following. Van Susteran forthrightly gave credit to his supporters that they are very committed to his cause as evidenced by the disproportionate share of emails sent by his supporters. Also Paul is being touted as having deep coffers. Now, if only they could see why his coffers are full. There is substance and a message here that resonates regardless of media coverage
Lastly, Giuliani offered up one final note of sarcasm from his sinking ship as he made his post primary speech. He referred to Paul as the candidate who had won all of the debates. His petty quip bounces off the sour apples in his empty campaign coffer as his Florida only strategy clearly tanked. So long Rudy. We won’t miss you.
Michael W. Temple

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  1. 1 Claim Blog » Blog Archive » Florida Primary

    […] tjcoop3 wrote an interesting post today on Florida PrimaryHere’s a quick excerptStatistical analysis is a science of it’s own and I do not claim to be remotely close to understanding all of the tactics one can employ to understand numerical patterns, probability, and the multitudes of behavioral tests afforded by … […]




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